Coordinating Earth Observation Data Validation for RE-Analysis for CLIMAte ServiceS - CORE-CLIMAX
Su, Zhongbo; Timmermans, Wim; Zeng, Yijian; Timmermans, Joris
UT-ITC-WRS, NETHERLANDS

Climate change adaptation may determine most likely the future of the mankind. The Report of the High-Level Taskforce for the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS), articulated three facts for the need of climate services:

Everyone is affected by climate - particularly its extremes, which cause loss of lives and livelihoods all over the world, but overwhelmingly in developing countries; Needs-based climate services are extremely effective in helping communities, businesses, organizations and governments to manage the risks and take advantage of the opportunities associated with the climate; There is a yawning gap between the needs for climate services and their current provision.

The 2011 European Commission report on the Global Monitoring of Environment and Security (GMES) climate service articulated European ambition for the GMES Climate Service to provide information products which are of climate quality. Together, these products will meet the first three goals of the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS):

Monitoring the climate system;
Detecting and attributing climate change;
Assessing impacts of, and supporting adaptation to, climate variability and change.

For climate and climate change monitoring, space-based observations provide a key source of data at global scales of the Earth's environment, climate change, and the provision of Climate services. An identification of the key observables has been undertaken by GCOS in defining Essential Climate Variables (ECV), such as air temperature, precipitation, carbon dioxide, sea level, sea surface temperature, snow cover. The GMES services in the Land, Marine and Atmosphere domain include within their product portfolios a wide range of parameters which are related to these ECVs, and may contribute to their determination and generation. More importantly, space based observations processed by the GMES services will contribute to climate change analyses if the continuity of the underlying measured physical parameters can be reconciled with previously existing data records.

The purpose of the CORE-CLIMAX project is to coordinate the identification of available physical measurements, which can be reconciled with previously existing data records, to form long time series. As such this project will help to substantiate how GMES observations and products can contribute to climate change analyses, by establishing the extent to which GMES observations complement existing Climate Data Records. The project will identify the capability of on-going activities and contribute to the formulation of the GMES climate service theme and lay the observational basis for service activities.

Since reanalyses are important for improving and synthesizing historical climate records, and for providing regional detail in a global context necessary for policy development and implementation, CORE-CLIMAX will identify the integration of ECVs into the reanalysis chain by proposing a feedback mechanism ensuring that the results of the re-analysis process get appropriately reflected into updates of the ECVs. Together with inter-comparing different reanalyses, CORE-CLIMAX will contribute to establish a European truly coupled gridded re-analysis which incorporates full exchanges and interactions between atmosphere, ocean, land, including the hydrological cycle.

The essential pre-requisite for the ECV satellite product generation is the availability of "Fundamental Climate Data Records (FCDR)", which is internationally addressed by the collaborative efforts of the Global Space-based Inter-calibration System (GSICS), and the Sustained and Coordinated Processing of Environmental Satellite Data for Climate Monitoring (SCOPE-CM). CORE-CLIMAX will make European contributions to these efforts, with the objectives embedded in these international efforts as indicated in Figures 1 and 2.

The specific objectives of the CORE-CLIMAX project are as follows:

Coordinate with GMES on-going activities and contribute to the formulation of the GMES climate service theme;
Propose a structured process for delivering ECVs through the stepped and quality controlled elaboration of Climate Data Records (CDR), the latter being derived from prioritisation of the most appropriate input data sets;
Propose a validation process aiming at qualifying the accuracy of the climate variables;
Propose a feedback mechanism ensuring that the results of the re-analysis process get appropriately reflected into updates of the CDR;
Propose a process to compare reanalyses.

CORE-CLIMAX as European contribution to international efforts in coordinating the generation of ECVs and their use in re-analyses The decomposed four pillars for an Architecture for Climate Monitoring, emphasizing the CORE-CLIMAX focus on "Climate Record Creation" and "Application"